Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened down 12.60 points, or 0.15%, at 8380.4 points on Wednesday, December 11th.Hyundai Motor: Parker will continue to be the CEO of Hyundai Motor's North American business.Galaxy Securities: Pay attention to investment opportunities in the fields of cement, consumer building materials, glass fiber, etc. The Galaxy Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) Cement: the price continues to push up, and the northern region has entered the winter peak-shifting stage. In November, the weather gradually turned cold, and the downstream market demand dropped slightly. Most provinces in the north have entered the stage of winter peak-shifting and kiln-stopping, and the kiln-stopping rate is above 80%. Under the background of improving supply and demand in the industry, cement enterprises continue to push up cement prices. 2) Consumer building materials: The retail end continued to improve month on month. In October, the retail sales of building and decoration materials decreased by 5.8% year-on-year and increased by 4.9% quarter-on-quarter. Recently, with the stabilization of commercial housing sales, the demand for consumer building materials has improved. 3) Glass fiber: the price of roving rose slightly at the end of the month, and the price of electronic yarn was temporarily stable. In November, the demand for wind power yarn and thermoplastic yarn was stable, but the demand for traditional building materials was still under pressure, which led to the general demand for roving. There are resumption of production and new ignition production lines within the month, and the annual production capacity has increased; Near the end of the month, glass fiber enterprises issued a notice of re-pricing roving and products. It will take some time for the new price to land, but it will have a certain driving effect on demand and price in the short term. 4) Float glass: at the end of the year, work will continue to support the market demand and the inventory of enterprises will be improved. In November, work was rushed to support the demand of float glass terminal, but the middle and lower reaches mainly digested the previous inventory, and the purchasing enthusiasm declined. In the context of the contradiction between supply and demand in the industry, the production capacity has been significantly reduced, and the inventory pressure of float glass enterprises has improved. Suggested attention: Beixin Building Materials, CONCH, China Jushi, etc.
TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.Guotai Junan: From policy expectation to focusing on performance, the marginal improvement of mass goods, Guotai Junan said, from policy expectation to focusing on performance, the marginal improvement of mass goods, stable drinks, marginal decline of alcohol, configuration: mass goods > beer & drinks > liquor, first grow before value, first choose snacks, certain preferred condiments, drinks and beer, and gradually lay out liquor: under low expectation, the layout is oversold and the valuation target is low, which is steady. Popular products: 1) Snacks and some condiments are preferred. 2) beer and drinks. 3) tobacco.Supervision intervened in the illegal use of self-built valuation models by financial subsidiaries. The reporter was informed that in view of the recent "self-built valuation model" prevalent in financial subsidiaries, the financial supervision department began to intervene and issued a notice requiring financial subsidiaries not to iron out the fluctuation of product net value through illegal closing price, smooth valuation and self-built valuation models. (21st century business herald)
Galaxy Securities: The equity market rebounded, and the improved double-low strategy exceeded 9% during the year. According to china galaxy Securities, the last cycle (11.26-12.9) recorded 2.3%, 1.7% and 3.2% respectively (the benchmark for the same period was 2.7%). Since the beginning of this year, the performance of the three types of strategies has been 8.5%, 8.6% and 15.1% respectively (the benchmark for the same period is 6.6%), and the cumulative excess rate of return is 2-9%. In the last cycle, the equity market rebounded and repaired. Wandequan A rose by 4.05%, and CSI convertible bonds followed (2.68%), among which the double-low style (3.25%) rose higher, and the low-price enhancement and low-price large-market strategy slightly underperformed the benchmark, and the double-low improvement strategy continued to dominate.More than 700 listed companies have announced the replacement of the audit institutions in 2024. According to incomplete statistics, since the beginning of this year, the number of listed companies planning to replace the accounting firms in 2024 has exceeded 700. Among them, the number of listed companies that intend to change accounting firms in October and November is 248 and 200 respectively. Looking back at the "exchange tide", three phenomena stand out: First, in order to improve the quality and ability of capital market intermediaries, the supervision of accounting firms by the regulatory authorities has been significantly enhanced. Based on the principle of prudence, listed companies collectively cancel the contract with the "problem institute"; Second, under the heavy penalty, more and more accountants choose to change their firms to practice, while listed companies choose to change their firms instead of accountants; Third, listed companies employ audit institutions through competitive negotiation, public bidding, invitation bidding, etc. In the bidding process, in order to attract more customers and increase the signing rate, the phenomenon of audit institutions reducing prices has increased. (Securities Daily)During the year, there were 461 new indices, and the index investment fever continued to climb. On December 10th, in order to meet the investment demand of diversified indices, CSI Index Co., Ltd. officially released five new indices, including CSI 1000 Growth Index, CSI 1000 Value Index, CSI 2000 Growth Index, CSI 2000 Value Index and CSI 1000 Quality Balance Strategy Index. With the "listing" of the above five indexes, the number of newly-issued indexes reached 461 during the year, covering categories such as strategy, style, scale, industry, theme and other fixed-income indexes; Related index asset classes include stocks, fixed income, funds and futures. At the same time, the secondary market, this year, the heat of indexed investment is also high. Looking forward to the future, with the continuous vigorous growth of market demand and unabated heat, and the precise guidance and strong support from the supervisory level, the indexed investment ecology will become more and more perfect. (Securities Daily)
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13